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This is an article about Nikolai Kondritev's work with respect to the commodity cycle. Time will tell whether this is true.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&refer=australia&sid=aDKUcyM2jIr8
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&refer=australia&sid=aDKUcyM2jIr8