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A member here forwarded me an email from Columbia Stats dept. If you are in NYC area, check it out.
Day: Friday, November 5th
Time: 4:40-5:40pm
Room: 312 Math
Speaker: Prof. Svetlozar T. Rachev, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Title: Risk Management, Modeling Volatile Market and Forecasting Market Crashes
Abstract: We propose several tempered stable process dynamics to model volatile markets. We show that these models catch the fat-tail phenomena usually realized in stock returns, and they also allow no-arbitrage option pricing. We fit the market with different models to price SPX call options, and it is shown that our model can produce more accurate results.
About the speaker: Svetlozar (Zari) Rachev is Chair-Professor at the University of Karlsruhe in the School of Economics and Business Engineering. He is also Professor Emeritus at the University of California, Santa Barbara in the Department of Statistics and Applied Probability.
He has published six monographs and more than 230 research articles. His research areas include mathematical and empirical finance, econometrics, probability, and statistics. He is a Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Elected Member of the International Statistical Institute, Foreign Member of the Russian Academy of Natural Science, and holds an honorary doctorate degree from St. Petersburg Technical University.
Day: Friday, November 5th
Time: 4:40-5:40pm
Room: 312 Math
Speaker: Prof. Svetlozar T. Rachev, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Title: Risk Management, Modeling Volatile Market and Forecasting Market Crashes
Abstract: We propose several tempered stable process dynamics to model volatile markets. We show that these models catch the fat-tail phenomena usually realized in stock returns, and they also allow no-arbitrage option pricing. We fit the market with different models to price SPX call options, and it is shown that our model can produce more accurate results.
About the speaker: Svetlozar (Zari) Rachev is Chair-Professor at the University of Karlsruhe in the School of Economics and Business Engineering. He is also Professor Emeritus at the University of California, Santa Barbara in the Department of Statistics and Applied Probability.
He has published six monographs and more than 230 research articles. His research areas include mathematical and empirical finance, econometrics, probability, and statistics. He is a Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Elected Member of the International Statistical Institute, Foreign Member of the Russian Academy of Natural Science, and holds an honorary doctorate degree from St. Petersburg Technical University.