not widely accepted but an alternative, non-drift option pricing model
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Stockequation/sandbox
essentially, we derive a relation between buy & sell orders and visual displacement on a chart
\(\large( \frac{2b_o-t_o}{t_o-b_o}\right )=\frac{\Delta_p}{\Delta_b}\)
The buy & sell orders themselves can be used in a normal distribution to find the probability of a stock rising above a strike price.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Stockequation/sandbox
essentially, we derive a relation between buy & sell orders and visual displacement on a chart
\(\large( \frac{2b_o-t_o}{t_o-b_o}\right )=\frac{\Delta_p}{\Delta_b}\)
The buy & sell orders themselves can be used in a normal distribution to find the probability of a stock rising above a strike price.
