At: 8/12 16:45:16
Very quiet day here today, Main points: Argentina continued to trade well as there is still a decent local bid in cash; Venez cash continues to trade heavy vs CDS tho did start to see buyers of cash in the afternoon (27s closing 88.25/75; 88 low print); Saw good two way flow in colombia cash (real$/local/RV); Index better bid in st througout the day. In general as macro mkt focus has moved toward recent px trends in oil/ commodities(lower), it seems the US equity/ EM correlation is beginning to break down in external space as the implications begin to diverge. (may explain relatively low vol in Em external relative to US equity last few sessions, as mkt begins to digest this)
EMCDX9 100.10/100.15 FV 100.35
Term Brazil Colombia Venezuela Mexico Argentina
1 41 45 63 69 440 460 27 31 720 745
2 67 71 86 92 505 525 50 54 775 790
3 85 89 107 113 550 568 68 72 790 810
5 121 125 156 162 626 632 105 109 815 830
10 156 160 195 201 684 690 131 135 840 855
2/5 53 56 68 72 109 114 54 57 39 44
5/10 33 36 36 41 55 60 24 27 24 32
Term Peru Panama Pemex
2 71 75 78 82 60 65
3 89 93 102 106 81 86
5 125 129 145 149 123 128
10 163 167 184 188 150 155
Cash Curves
(Mid market Z spreads)
Brazil Colombia Venezuela Mexico Argentina
A's 98 12's 93 10's 530 10's 40 Bd12s1137
37's 121 17's 134 13's 635 17's 83 Bn17s977
40's 102 37's 164 27's 630 40's 132 Disco651