If I had to come up with something quickly on this, I'd get 12...... there is 1/3 chance that I roll something from 21-30 which is a guaranteed win, the EV in that case is 25.5, in the 2/3 chance that I get something from 1-20 there is a 50% chance of a win (since in that case we're both going to get something random from 1-20, expected roll for both is 10.5, and there is equal chance of each beating the other), so overall EV is 1/3 * 25.5 (rolling 21-30) + 1/3 * 10.5 (rolling 1-20 and winning) + 1/3 * 0 (rolling 1-20 and losing) = 12. Where is my thinking wrong?
Edit-- forgot about the negative EV in the case of losing... in that case, though, now I am at 1/3 * 25.5 (rolling 21-30) + 1/3 * 10.5 (rolling 1-20 and winning) + 1/3 * -10.5 (rolling 1-20 and losing) = 8.5, not 8.15
Additional edit-- I guess I probably lose a bit from the "tie goes to you" thing, but how my loss from that would equal 0.35 (in a way that one could calculate in their head) is tough... I'd have to draw a grid with all the possible pairs and tally up the results...
Edit #3-- OK, yeah, now I'm getting 8.15... It took building a 20x20 grid in Excel, though, (EV of -.525, -0.525 * 2/3 = -0.35) which I don't think Jane Street lets you do. How could this possibly have been done mentally with no calculator/computer?
What symmetry?