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Simple model for Non-Quant person

Joined
4/13/12
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Points
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I want to build trading model that have positive payoff. I have backtest a lot of Technical indicator and Trading System that found on internet but non of them have positive payoff.

My question
1. Is it possible for individual trader to build profitable directional trading system ?
2. If the answer is yes ... Which topic on Quantitative method ( that I can learn and implement by myself ) will useful for me.
3. Can you recommend Books or websites that I can learn.

Resources/Knowledge that I have
1. Basics understand of Programming, Calculus , Probability, Economic.
2. About 2 hrs/day + 3-4 hrs on weekend
3. Daily open, high, low, close, volume data and Economic number that I can found on internet.

Thank you for your answer.
 
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