PETERSBURG PARADOX
Hi, I went into the website and found the interesting Petersburg Paradox.
The story is:
You entered in the Petersburg casino. Your entrance fee is 20 dollars in each game. In one game, a coin is thrown repetively until it shows no more head. You get 2n-20 Dollars, if n times Head appeared, the bank gets in each game 20-2n dollars.
You will experience that with this entrance fee, you are losing money. In reality, it is a mathematical fact that you are expected to win: you win with probability 2-n the amount of 2n Dollars. Summing over all n gives an infinite expectation value for your win. Whatever entrance fee you would pay, you would win. The paradox is that this disagrees with your experience to lose.
I go through to find out the expectation.
You will find that to get the breakeven, you need 1 trillion (10^12) trials.
In the mathematical world, it is true that it will end up with positive infinite numbers, but in this risky and limited world, the player will always lose.:D
PS: Sometimes, the more you try, the more you gain, and sometimes, the more you try, the more you lose. Wise man will understand his SWOT to understand the limitation.